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The period from 2008 to 2009 saw the emergence of the global financial crisis, which had economic impacts across the globe. This paper discusses the key causes of the financial crisis: the U.S. housing bubble caused by subprime lending and mortgage-backed securities, and the rise of complex financial instruments like credit default swaps. It reviews how the bankruptcy of this housing bubble produced an impending credit crisis and bank failures, which led to a significant decrease in economic activity amongst the interlinked economies. The types of policies to turn around economic growth are also examined, such as central banks using quantitative easing, fiscal policy packages, foreclosure prevention programs, and the provision of financial stability through the Dodd-Frank Act by increasing supervision and mitigating systemic risks. Although the global markets were stabilized eventually through significant interventions, it became clear that gaps needed to be filled by introducing tighter regulations and better lending practices that were more sustainable.
Between December 2007 and February 2009, the world experienced the greatest financial downturn, usually known as the Great Recession, a crisis that had devastating economic impacts. At one point, the financial crisis devastated households and institutions in every corner of the world, from the United States to every other country around the globe. The onset of the crisis saw the more vulnerable financial institutions start to run the risk of sinking, larger institutions took over many, and the U.S. government had to offer bailouts to avoid the institutions going extinct. The crisis, which goes by its general name of "The Great Recession", happened gradually. Many factors were responsible for it, and their impact still exists. This paper explores the global financial crisis, focusing on the root causes and effects, and the economic recovery solutions applied to regain economic stability globally.
Causes of the Great Recession
According to Verick and Islam (2010), several factors can be attributed to the emergence of the 2008-2009 global fiscal disaster. However, the immediate and most prominent causes were the housing boom and unchecked financial lending, as discussed below. These factors formed the basis of the Great Recession, which had long-lasting impacts on the global economy.
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The housing market boom, which gave birth to the Great Recession of 2008-2009, was a complex phenomenon that was a product of different factors. It was driven by the relaxation of lending standards and the abundant availability of subprime mortgages (Verick & Islam, 2010). Banks and lending institutions grew more bullish with a view to making higher returns and started lending to people with bad credit records and little financial background. These subprime mortgages, fashioned with teaser rates that initially gave stimulating low monthly installments, would magically reset at higher levels after a few years. The lenders could not deny these risky loans as long as housing prices were rising and the borrowers could refinance or sell their houses before the higher payments started.
In addition to the above, these mortgages were unprecedentedly developed into complex financial instruments, commonly known as mortgage-backed securities (MBS) (Verick & Islam, 2010). By wrapping up thousands of mortgages and selling them off as securities, lenders can hedge the risks away from themselves to the investors. Rating agencies, which are in charge of evaluating the risk of such instruments, sometimes give them undeserved higher ratings that make the risks hardly visible. Finally, the issues of the old laws and the weak supervision also contributed to the problem, through which lenders were involved in more aggressive and predatory lending practices (Verick & Islam, 2010). Regulators were not quick to respond to the changing dynamics in the financial sector, giving leeway to the unchecked growth of the housing bubble. With the flow of subprime mortgages in the market, demand for housing has grown hyperactively, inflating prices beyond reason. Speculation also launched, leading investors to turn properties to profit from the still-growing quotes. This continued reinforcing the bubble's oscillations, keeping it inflating and laying the groundwork for its inevitable burst.
The Bubble Bursts
The collapse of the real estate market was a catastrophic event that shook the whole structure of the global economy. When the prices of the houses started to go up and came down, borrowers realized that they owed more than their homes were worth, a situation called being “underwater” (Duggan, 2023). Consequently, refinancing or selling at a profit became unlikely options, and the defaults on subprime mortgages began to increase sharply. As the values of their mortgage-backed securities rapidly dropped, lenders and financial institutions that held large volumes of these toxic assets faced increasing losses. The impacts caused by the popped bubble were immense and disastrous. The banks and lenders, heavily involved in the subprime mortgage market, soon ran into a liquidity crisis and tried to stay afloat (Verick & Islam, 2010). With this, many banks became cautious about lending to creditworthy borrowers, triggering a generalized credit crunch.
Firms were obliged to fire employees in multitudes following their limited borrowing capacity and permanent decline in demand, thus deepening the economic downturn (Axelrad et al., 2018). Home values and retirement funds trickled down and became depleted. This made the drop in consumer spending contract sharply. This crisis soon engulfed and affected the residential and financial markets and a wide range of other sectors worldwide. Global exchange and investment ran into a cliff since financial system stability plummeted. As a result, the central banks and governments worldwide adopted previously unseen measures, such as bailouts, stimulus packages, and quantitative easing, to reverse the situation (Duggan, 2023). Nevertheless, this crisis left scars that lasted for some time, and countries had to show some patience to overcome the consequences of the ruptured housing market.
Credit Default Swaps
According to Axelrad et al. (2018), expanding credit default swaps (CDSs) worsened matters beyond recognition. CDSs are financial instruments meant to work as insurance policies against the risk that obligators of debt, for instance, bondholders or mortgage holders, would not be able to repay their debts. Bankers and bondholders could buy CDSs from third parties, which become the new riders of the risk of default, but in return, they pay the premiums regularly. The construction of CDSs facilitated the invention of synthetic exposures to mortgage-backed securities, thus enabling investors to speculate on the performance of these securities while not owning them (Duggan, 2023). This had an added effect, as the volume of mortgages was immense even though their actual value was much lower than the total credit risk.
The default rate on subprime mortgages started to rise, causing a significant blow to the value of mortgage-backed securities. Banks and investment firms with these toxic assets in their portfolio suffered huge losses. At the same time, the entities that sold credit default swaps were exposed to massive payouts, which added to the financial crisis. The subprime mortgage crisis and credit default swaps (CDSs) showed the problematic nature as well as the lack of transparency of the financial system (Duggan, 2023; Boldrin et al., 2013). These events signal the necessity of comprehensive regulatory reforms and stricter oversight that would never allow such a devastating event to happen again.
Economic Impacts of the Great Recession
The financial crisis's consequences penetrated countries outside the U.S. borders. As the housing bubble burst and the credit markets were frozen, these shocks spread through the interconnected global financial systems. Many big banks and financial entities worldwide faced too much exposure to highly risky mortgage-mortgage-backed and similar invents (Axelrad et al., 2018). This led to a sudden lack of confidence among investors and a severe credit crunch. The actual economy suffered a massive and sudden shock. The credit tap was turned off, and companies found it difficult to access the funds they needed, resulting in widespread retrenchment and reduced investment. Unemployment rates increased, consumer spending decreased, and economic growth was halted completely (Axelrad et al., 2018). Global manufacturing was also hit badly; production levels decreased, and international trade flows were interrupted. As such, Régimes and central banks worldwide were obliged, for the first time, to take unique measures to avert the total crash of the financial system. In this regard, colossal monetary support and quantitative easing programs were employed, venting markets with liquidity and, thus, boosting the investors' confidence and making the economy more active. Nevertheless, these interventions were heavily funded, with many countries facing deficit problems and accumulation of public debt.
Critical Efforts Implemented Towards Economic Recovery
To recover from the crisis, government banks worldwide adopted unconventional emergency monetary policies that included but were not limited to providing liquidity and stimulating economic growth, as Boldrin et al. (2013) pointed out. The Fed decided to cut interest rates to almost zero levels. It even embarked on quantitative easing (Q.E.) programs, which bought billions of mortgage-backed securities and other assets to inject money into the financial system. The betterment of credit conditions was a crucial factor for lending.
In addition, policymakers also implemented broad-based fiscal stimulus to raise aggregate demand and structural fiscal consolidation measures to ensure the economy does not suffer deep recessions. According to Duggan (2023), the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, a $789 billion package, included tax cuts, infrastructure investments, and funding for education and healthcare initiatives. Likewise, other nations adopted the same measures to improve the poor economic conditions of consumers and businesses (Boldrin et al., 2013). To deal with the housing crisis at the bottom of the recession, programs were implemented to help homeowners going through financial difficulties and support the market. The Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP) took place, which allowed deeply indebted property owners to refinance their loans at lower rates (Duggan, 2023). Moreover, the Homeowner Stability Initiative allocated $75 billion to stop foreclosures.
Meanwhile, realizing the necessity for regulatory transformation, policymakers approached the problem by working to strengthen the oversight mechanism and to reduce systemic risk. The Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act developed higher capital requirements, stress testing for large banks, and introduced the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau to monitor consumer lending activities (Duggan, 2023; Boldrin et al., 2013). Undoubtedly, it was a bumpy road to recovery during which various central banks, governments, and regulatory bodies coordinated their efforts to restore confidence, stabilize financial markets, and eventually enable economic expansion to resume. That was how the Great Recession was brought to an end.
Conclusion
In summary, the Great Recession of 2008-2009 was a catastrophic financial crisis that brought to light the fact that there were fundamental problems with the global financial system. Credit loosening, deregulation, and the housing bubble burst that followed brought most, if not all, financial institutions down and stirred the world economy into much turmoil. It demonstrated that the wild swings in the market were mainly attributable to faulty regulation, lack of transparency, and wrongly designed models that fueled excessive speculation. Although the road to recovery had been bumpy, long, and laborious, the joint efforts from the policy authorities and governments managed to restore stability and create a platform for a new growth era, tempered by the hard-earned lessons from this critical moment in financial history.
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- Axelrad, H., Sabbath, E. L., & Hawkins, S. S. (2018). The 2008–2009 Great Recession and employment outcomes among older workers. European Journal of Ageing, pp. 15, 35–45. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10433-017-0429-0
- Boldrin, M., Garriga, C., Peralta-Alva, A., & Sánchez, J. M. (2013). Reconstructing the Great Recession. FRB of St. Louis Working Paper No. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2217710
- Duggan, W. (2023, June 21). A short history of the Great Recession. Retrieved from https://www.forbes.com/advisor/investing/great-recession/
- Verick, S., & Islam, I. (2010). The great recession of 2008-2009: causes, consequences and policy responses. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1631069