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Question One
Stock Valuation using Fama-French Three-Factor Model
An analyst has modeled the stock of a company using the Fama-French three-factor model. The risk-free rate is 5%, the market return is 9%, the return on the SMB portfolio is 3.2%, and the return on the HML portfolio is 4.8%. If a = 0, b = 1.1, c = -0.3, and d=1.2, what is the stock’s predicted return?
Expected Return = + b +c (SMB) +d (HML) +a
Where;
- Rf is the risk-free rate.
- Rm is the market return.
- SMB (Small Minus Big) is the return on the size factor portfolio.
- HML (High minus Low) is the return on the value factor portfolio.
- a is the stock’s alpha (a measure of the stock's return that is not explained by the three factors; in this case, a=0a = 0a=0).
- b, c, and d mare the sensitivities of the stock to the respective factors.
- Rf=5%
- Rm=9%
- SMB=3.2%
- HML=4.8%
- a = 0
- b =1.1
- c=−0.3
- d=1.2
Expected Return = 5% +1.1 (9%−5%) + (−0.3) (3.2%) +1.2(4.8%)
=5% +4.4% −0.96% +5.76%
=14.2%
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Expected Return and Standard Deviation Calculation
A stock’s return has the following distribution:
Demand for Products Probability of Occurrence of Demand Return if
Demand Occurs
Weak 0.1 -40%
Below Average 0.2 -5
Average 0.4 12
Above Average 0.2 21
Strong 0.1 50
Calculate the stock’s expected return and standard deviation.
Expected return (μ)
μ=∑ (Pi×Ri)
μ is the expected return
Pi is the probability of occurrence of demand for each scenario
Ri is the return if demand occurs for each scenario
μ = (0.1×−40%) + (0.2×−5) + (0.4×12) + (0.2×21) + (0.1×50)
= -0.04 + -1 + 4.8 + 4.2 + 5
= 12.96%
Standard deviation (σ) =
σ =
σ =
σ =
σ = 17.4257%
Question Three
Standard Deviation of Stock Returns
A company has annual returns for three different stocks (Stock A, Stock B, and Stock C) over the past five years as follows:
- Stock A: 8%, 12%, 15%, 5%, 10%
- Stock B: 10%, 14%, 9%, 13%, 11%
- Stock C: 7%, 9%, 8%, 11%, 12%
Calculate the standard deviation of returns for each stock to determine which stock has the most volatile returns.
Stock A
Mean Return
=
=
= 10%
Deviations from Mean
8%−10% =−2%
12%−10%=2%
15%−10%=5%
5%−10%=−5%
10%−10% = 0%
Squared Deviations
(−2%) 2 = 4
(2%) 2 =4
(5%) 2 =25
(−5%) 2 = 25
(0%) 2 =0
Variance
Variance =
=
= 11.6
Standard Deviation
=
= 3.406%
Stock B
Mean Return
=
=
= 11.4%
Deviations from Mean
10%−11.4% =−1.4%
14%−11.4%=2.6%
9%−11.4%=-2.4%
13%−11.4%=1.6%
11%−11.4% = -0.4%
Squared Deviations
(−1.4%) 2 = 1.96
(2.6%) 2 =6.76
(-2.4%) 2 =5.76
1.6%) 2 = 2.56
(0.4%) 2 =0.16
Variance
Variance =
=
= 3.44
Standard Deviation
=
= 1.855%
Stock C
Mean Return
Mean =
=
= 9.4%
Deviations from Mean
7%−9.4% =−2.4%
9%−9.4%=-0.4%
8%−9.4%=-1.4%
11%−9.4%=1.6%
12%−9.4% = 2.6%
Squared Deviations
(−2.4%) 2 = 5.76
(-0.4%) 2 =0.16
(-1.4%) 2 =1.96
(1.6%) 2 = 2.56
(2.6%) 2 =6.76
Variance
=
=
= 3.44
Standard Deviation
=
= 1.855%
Question Four
Net Present Value (NPV) Calculation
ABC Manufacturing Company is considering purchasing a new piece of equipment that will improve its production process. The equipment costs $500,000 and has an estimated useful life of 5 years with no salvage value. The company expects the new equipment to generate additional revenue of $200,000 per year and reduce operating costs by $50,000 per year. The company's required rate of return is 10%.
Calculate the Net Present Value (NPV) of the investment.
Year | Net Cash Flow |
1 | $250,000 |
2 | $250,000 |
3 | $250,000 |
4 | $250,000 |
5 | $250,000 |
Initial investment = 500,000
r (required rate of return) =10%
Discount Factor =
Discount Factors
Year 1 = = 0.9091
Year 2 = = 0.8264
Year 3 = = 0.7513
Year 4 = = 0.6830
Year 5 = = 0.6209
Present Value of Cash Flow |
|---|
Year 1 = 250,000 × 0.9091 = 227,272.73
Year 2 = 250,000 × 0.8264 = 206,611.57
Year 3 = 250,000 × 0.7513 = 187,828.70
Year 4 = 250,000 × 0.6830 = 170,753.36
Year 5 = 250,000 × 0.6209 = 155,230.33
Total Present Value of Cash Flows
= 227,272.73+206,611.57+187,828.70+170,753.36+155,230.33
= 947,696.69
NPV
NPV=Total Present Value of Cash Flows−Initial Investment
NPV =947,696.69−500,000
=447,696.69
Question Five
Depreciation Calculation
A company purchases machinery for $120,000. It has a useful life of 10 years and a salvage value of $10,000. Using the straight-line method, calculate the annual depreciation expense.
Annual Depreciation Expense =
Cost of the Asset = $120,000
Salvage Value = $10,000
Useful Life = 10 years
Annual Depreciation Expense
=
=
= 11,000
Question Six
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) Calculation
Turnbull Co. is considering a project that requires an initial investment of $270,000. The firm will raise the $270,000 in capital by issuing $100,000 of debt at a before-tax cost of 11.1%, $30,000 of preferred stock at a cost of 12.2%, and $140,000 of equity at a cost of 14.7%. The firm faces a tax rate of 25%. What will be the WACC for this project?
After-tax cost of debt
rd×(1−T)
=11.1 %× (1−0.25)
=11.1%×0.75
=8.325%
Weights
Weight of debt (wd)
Weight of debt (wd) =
=
= 0.3704
= 37.04%
Weight of preferred stock (wps)
Weight of preferred stock (wps) =
=
= 0.1111
= 11.11%
Weight of equity (we)
Weight of equity (we) =
=
= 0.5185
= 51.58%
WACC
WACC=(wd×rd×(1−T))+(wps×rps)+( we ×re)
wd = 0.3704
rd×(1−T) = 8.325%
wps= 0.1111
rps= 12.2%
we= 0.5185
re= 14.7%
WACC= (0.3704×0.08325) + (0.1111×0.122) + (0.5185×0.147)
= 0.0256 + 0.0136 + 0.0758
= 0.115
= 11.5%
Question Seven
Retained Earnings Breakpoint Calculation
Alpha Moose Transporters Co.’s addition to earnings for this year is expected to be $745,000. Its target capital structure consists of 50% debt, 5% preferred, and 45% equity. Determine Alpha Moose Transporter’s retained earnings breakpoint
Retained Earnings Breakpoint =
Addition to Earnings = $745,000
Proportion of Equity in Capital Structure = 45%
Question Eight
Inflation Rate and Implied Exchange Rate Calculation
Big Mac prices in the UK have increased from £4.50 to £4.90 over the past year. During the same timeframe, US Big Mac prices have increased from $3.45 to $3.55. What are estimates of the inflation rates for the US and UK given these “consumption baskets”. What is the implied exchange rate from last year and this year for GBPUSD?
United Kingdom
The initial price of a Big Mac (last year) = £4.50
Final price of a Big Mac (this year) = £4.90
= × 100
= × 100
= 8.89%
United States
The initial price of a Big Mac (last year) = $3.45
Final price of a Big Mac (this year) = $3.55
Inflation rate in the US
= × 100
× 100
= 2.9%
Initial implied exchange rate (last year)
GBP price of Big Mac last year = £4.50
USD price of Big Mac last year = $3.45
Implied exchange rate last year
=
=1.3043
Final implied exchange rate (this year):
GBP price of Big Mac this year = £4.90
USD price of Big Mac this year = $3.55
Implied exchange rate this year
=
= 1.3803
Question Nine
Cost of Preferred Stock Calculation
Barton Industries can issue perpetual preferred stock at a price of $60 per share. The stock would pay a constant annual dividend of $3.23 per share. If the firm's marginal tax rate is 25%, what is the company's cost of preferred stock?
rp=
Dp=3.23 (annual dividend per share)
Pp=60 (price per share)
=
= 0.05383
= 5.383%
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